Investor enthusiasm for mega initial public offerings (IPOs) on Dalal Street has hit a sobering reality check, as larger issue sizes continue to stumble in delivering sustainable stock market gains. Market performance data reveals that out of 11 mega IPOs that raised over ₹9,500 crore each since 2021seven high-profile listings are currently trading well below their original issue price. These seven companies collectively raised nearly ₹1.05 lakh crore. from primary markets, but their aggregate market capitalization has eroded by roughly 15.3 percent to ₹88,979 croreeroding significant retail and institutional capital.
Leading the list of underperformers are marquee tech disruptors, financial heavyweights, and state-backed entities that commanded premium pricing during their initial subscriptions:
Swiggy and One 97 Communications (Paytm): Quick-commerce and delivery giant Swiggy has emerged as the worst hit, currently languishing approximately 35 percent below its issue price. Paytm’s parent company, One 97 Communications, continues to battle heavy post-listing headwinds, trading around 22 percent below its benchmark issue value.
Financial and Energy Powerhouses: Public sector stalwarts and financial conglomerates have also failed to hold ground; shares of NTPC Green Energy, HDB Financial Services, Life Insurance Corporation of India (LIC), and SBI Funds Management are changing hands at discounts ranging between 10 percent and 17 percent below their issue levels.
National Stock Exchange (NSE) Slips Under Pressure: Even the landmark ₹22,563 crore IPO of the National Stock Exchange (NSE)—the country’s second-largest offering after Hyundai Motor India’s ₹27,859 crore issue in October 2024—fell below its issue price after debuting on the BSE on September 24. On September 29, NSE shares settled at ₹1,769.30 against the issue price of ₹1,785, marking a 6 percent slide from its listing-day peak of ₹1,878.
Bucking the broad downward trend, only four of the 11 mega public issues have managed to protect investor capital and deliver positive returns above their initial pricing:
Modest Gainers: Non-banking financial major Tata Capital trades roughly 1.5 percent higher than its ₹326 issue price, while auto heavyweight Hyundai Motor India preserves a 7 percent gain over its record-setting October 2024 issue baseline.
Standout Multibaggers: Consumer appliance leader LG Electronics India and asset manager ICICI Prudential AMC have delivered stellar outperformance; LG Electronics India is currently trading 53 percent above its issue pricewhile ICICI Prudential AMC shares have surged nearly 50 percent compared to their original subscription band.
Capital market veterans point out that issue pricing and corporate fundamentals, rather than sheer size, dictate post-listing market survival:
Aggressive Valuations Hurt Listings: G. Chokkalingam, founder and research head at Equinomics Research, emphasized that offer pricing remains the single most critical factor determining investor returns, noting that launch timing, initial pricing bands, and corporate profitability heavily dictate secondary market appetite.
Value Disconnect: Ratiraj Tibrewal, Director at Choice Capital Advisors, observed that while select issues like LG Electronics and ICICI Pru AMC left substantial money on the table for secondary buyers, several mega issues hit the bourses with stretched valuations that left little room for listing gains.
Outlook for the Primary Market: While analysts anticipate a heavy pipeline of new public offerings in the coming months, ongoing volatility or weakness across benchmark indices could temper listing day premiums and slow down upcoming issue subscriptions.
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